Mets vs. Orioles Game 1 Preview, Odds, and Predictions: July 10, 2025


The Baltimore Orioles will aim to build momentum when they host the New York Mets in the first game of Thursday’s doubleheader. This matchup comes after Wednesday's game was postponed due to rain, following New York’s close 7-6 victory on Tuesday. The Mets (53-39), who have won five of their last six, are currently 20-25 in road games this season. Meanwhile, the Orioles (40-50), sitting fifth in the AL East, have a 19-23 record at home.

Game 1 is scheduled to begin at 12:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles have taken five of the last nine matchups against the Mets. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, New York is listed as a -138 money line favorite (bet $138 to win $100), with the over/under set at 9 total runs.

Pitching Matchup and Key Players

The Mets will likely send southpaw David Peterson to the mound. He holds a 6-4 record with a 3.18 ERA over 17 starts in 2025. Peterson has racked up 87 strikeouts in 102 innings while allowing 36 earned runs. In his most recent outing, he helped secure a 3-2 victory over Milwaukee, pitching 6.2 innings and giving up just one earned run.

Offensively, the Mets are powered by slugger Pete Alonso. Through 92 games, Alonso is batting .290 with 21 home runs and 75 RBIs. He hit a home run and recorded two RBIs in Tuesday’s win and blasted two home runs against the Yankees on Sunday.

For the Orioles, veteran right-hander Charlie Morton is expected to start. Morton has a 5-7 record and a 5.47 ERA across 19 appearances. In his last outing, he earned a 3-2 win against the Braves, striking out seven over 5.1 innings.

Baltimore will also rely on Ryan O’Hearn, who is hitting .286 with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs this season. He added a double and two RBIs in Tuesday’s game and has hit safely in six of his last eight appearances.

Betting Insight and Prediction

SportsLine’s advanced simulation model has analyzed this matchup 10,000 times. It favors the Over on the total runs, predicting a combined 9.5. The model also identifies one side of the money line as offering significant value.

To view the full betting picks and recommendations, visit SportsLine.

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