Does Winning the Community Shield Lead to Premier League Success? – Full Stats & History

 

Does Winning the Community Shield Lead to Premier League Success? – Full Stats & History

Author: Zamal Uddin | August 9, 2025

The Community Shield 2025 is here, with Premier League champions Liverpool facing FA Cup winners Crystal Palace at Wembley. But one big question remains: Does lifting the Community Shield really predict a strong season ahead?

According to history, the answer is no – at least most of the time.

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Community Shield Winners vs. Premier League Champions

Looking at the Premier League era (since 1992), only 8 out of 33 Community Shield winners have gone on to win the league title in the same season.

Interestingly, 5 of those 8 occasions happened in just six years between 2005 and 2010.

• Manchester City (2019) were the last team to win both the Shield and the league in the same season.

• Before them, Manchester United (2011) achieved the same under Sir Alex Ferguson.

• In recent times, teams losing the Community Shield have actually gone on to win the Premier League more often – 10 times since 1992, including Man City three seasons in a row (2021–2023).

In fact, 45% of the time (15 out of 33 seasons), the team that wins the league was not involved in the Community Shield at all.

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Who Usually Wins the Community Shield?

Historically, Premier League champions have lifted the Community Shield 55% of the time (18 out of 33).

However, there’s good news for FA Cup winners – in the past 11 years, they have won 7 Shields, compared to just 5 wins in the previous 22 years combined.

There have even been rare cases when neither the league nor the cup winner claimed the Shield:

• Arsenal (1999, 2023)

• Manchester United (2010)
  These teams qualified as league runners-up but still beat the Double winners.

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Do Community Shield Goalscorers Have Great Seasons?

This statistic is a mixed bag.

• In 2023, Cole Palmer scored for Manchester City in the Shield before moving to Chelsea, where he netted 22 league goals and won Young Player of the Season.

• In 2022, Darwin Núñez scored for Liverpool on debut, while Erling Haaland didn’t score in his City debut – but Haaland went on to hit 52 goals that season.

• Some scorers, like Kelechi Iheanacho in 2021, failed to replicate their Shield form, scoring just 4 league goals that season.

• Others, like Raheem Sterling in 2019, used the Shield as a springboard to their best-ever campaigns (31 goals).

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Final Verdict – Does Winning the Community Shield Matter?

While the Community Shield is a prestigious season opener and a confidence booster, history shows it’s not a reliable predictor of Premier League success.

Winning it might give a psychological edge, but league glory depends on consistency, squad depth, and performance across a long season.

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• Does winning Community Shield matter

• Community Shield winners stats

• Premier League season opener history

• Community Shield and Premier League success

• FA Cup winners Community Shield record

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